One of the most rewarding, fun, and challenging parts of
my job is issuing convective warnings. Now, I am no seasoned warning operator
yet, but recent events have taught me a lot about convection. Knowing about
convective environments, storm structure, etc is great, but interrogating
storms for hours on end offers a unique learning opportunity that only adds to
any working knowledge of thunderstorms. Storm behavior is a great teacher! I
have also learned something else…the warning environment is full of surprises.
Some of these surprises can be frustrating in the moment, but it’s hard not to
look back later and just laugh. Laughter is so important in life, so I thought
I would share a few of my surprises and I’m sure others can add to this list!
So there you are, keeping a close eye on a strengthening
storm approaching Hail Town. You put out a SPS knowing it will likely continue
to strengthen. And, sure enough, it does and you put out a SVR. Soon, you’ve
got 50 dBZ up to the -50C level, 250 kt storm-top divergence, and a beautiful
hail spike…and the storm is headed right for Hail Town. All of a sudden, it
makes a right turn and misses the town to the east, but alas, there are a
couple of random local spotters clustered right next to each other east of town
(they appear to be close enough to be neighbors). As soon as the core passes,
you call them up. “I’m sorry Ma’am, you said you only had peas? Is it possible there were a few baseballs mixed in with those peas?” I mean, the core had such a
large area of 70+ dBZ, you are sure she is probably seeing 70 dBZ pixels in her
backyard…and in high res mind you! You call up spotter two. “Sir, you say you
had 30 minutes of baseball size hail and it looks like things have been tore up
for miles? You know, your neighbor across the street only had peas…perhaps you
should consider relocating.”
Then there is the, ‘that-storm-did-what?’. Storm Z0
approaches your largest city with 50 dBZ up to 500 feet and storm top
divergence of 5 kt in an environment characterized by MUCAPE of 50 j/kg. Not
even SPS worthy. Suddenly, 200 people call in reporting baseballs raining down
on town tearing things up. Not to mention, since the storms had all
dissipated, you let extra forecaster #3 go home an hour earlier...and now you are radar / switchboard operator. At the same
time, a second storm pops up looking MUCH stronger than the storm that produced baseballs, so of course you put out a SVR on it. Spotter under the core then
calls to report light rain and a few lightning strikes.
And then you have the storms that you are certain are
terrified of spotters. “Hey Bob, it looks like this storm will go right over
this clustering of 30 spotters in Quietsville. We should definitely get some
reports out of this one. Wait, is that storm splitting?” Of course, the
left-mover, which now certainly has hail, is going over a privately-owned 500
acre lake which means there will be no driving in behind the storm to see what
fell. Here in the Great Falls CWA, spotters are mostly clustered in small towns
with very few outside of town. In fact, if you scroll too far in, you might think
that your spotter overlay hasn’t even been loaded. Storms love the open country
apparently…that or they don’t want people to know what they are up to. Of
course, when they do find spotters, it is the ones that have changed phone
numbers or are on vacation for the next 3 weeks.
Of course, you cannot leave out the technology mishaps.
Perhaps you’ve experienced some of these? “GR2 has encountered an error and
must close”. Oh, yeah, must it? “DirectX not found…program will not open”. Hmmm…the
program had no problem finding that yesterday. “Spotter readout unavailable”. E-gads,
if the storms think there are no spotters, then they are sure to hit population
centers. Someone needs to get the spotter readout turned on stat! “Windows just
installed new updates, your computer will now run in sloth mode until you
restart”. So, that’s what 14.4 modems were like. “This webcam is temporarily
unavailable”. I swear, in the 12 years I’ve been here, that camera has never
gone down!
Now admittedly, some of the issues above are exaggerated
JUST a bit. Regardless, whether you issue warnings for the NWS, alerts for a
private company, or simply call your parents when a storm is headed for their
house, I’m sure many of you have run into a various assortment of challenges (some
of which seem like they have been exaggerated, when in fact they haven’t).
Warning people about severe storms is not always a clear-cut, easy task. There
are events where for whatever reason, you issue warnings/alert others for hours
on storms that have classic hail, damaging wind, and/or tornado signatures and no
reports are received. Or maybe you are in the middle of an event when your
office’s radar (or another radar you use) goes down. But, you go off what you
know and your previous experiences and carry on offering the best service you
can. I joke a bit about some of the challenges above because I think it is
important to laugh at life sometimes, but in the moment, they usually aren’t
funny and can even be frustrating at times. Did I mention it is important to
laugh?
Meteorologists…we have a unique job and one in which I
don’t think many people quite understand all that we do. But, it’s ok, because
we know...or at least I hope we know. If you feel like you don’t, I hope this
will be a reminder of the great opportunity we have to provide a valuable service in smooth and not-so-smooth times! I realize not everyone will issue warnings, alerts, etc.
But, that isn’t the only challenge. This profession is full of applying
scientific principles with a mix of gut feeling/experience thrown in during
less than ideal situations. We often have to make decisions in real-time, and
the flow of information isn’t always smooth. It’s those times that really try
us as professionals…a little refinement by fire if you will. But, then, there
are the times when everything just seems to work perfectly. Reliable spotters
are calling in reports on every storm, you are fully-staffed, storms are
behaving like you expect, and so on. I believe it is in those smooth events
that we do even better because we’ve faced the not-so-smooth events/challenges.
So, don’t let those frustrating and, in hindsight, humorous, issues during
active weather get you down or discouraged. As I said in the beginning, storm
behavior is an amazing teacher!
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